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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.79$

Invest 6.87$

Average return 8.67$

ROI +26.1%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 15.74 $, profit at most −7.07 $

float premium: at least 8 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.81 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

2.83 $

at 0.94

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

1.94 $

at 0.49

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.10 $

at 0.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.87 $ +1.79 (+26.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

4.71 $

at 0.94

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

0.97 $

at 0.49

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.10 $

at 0.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.79 $ +2.58 (+33.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

1.89 $

at 0.94

Steam

×5

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

2.43 $

at 0.49

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.10 $

at 0.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.42 $ +1.40 (+21.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

8.84 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

5.40 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.84 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29.04 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.78 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.67 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.50 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971307 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.01$ · invest 6.39$
MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested), M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162740 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2971017 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.76$ · invest 7.53$
P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested), M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163655 instead of 0.164749

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build