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The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +33.15₽

Invest 133.54₽

Average return 166.69₽

ROI +24.8%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 330.11 ₽, profit at most −163.42 ₽

float premium: at least 182 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

88.65 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

44.89 ₽

at 44.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.54 ₽ +33.15 (+24.8%)

What you get 11 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 54%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

201.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

158.08 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

248.56 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.36 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

149.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

196.98 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Retrobution

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

280.75 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Power Loader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

332.82 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Tiger Moth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

190.47 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Avalanche

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

425.95 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Teclu Burner

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097499

229.81 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.24 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.13 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971426 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 36.77₽ · invest 137.22₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2969713 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 35.20₽ · invest 117.10₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163615 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2971138 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 33.42₽ · invest 129.26₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163032 instead of 0.165610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 11 outcomes

More

How to build