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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +92.02₽

Invest 4 218.83₽

Average return 4 310.85₽

ROI +2.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 10 007.44 ₽, profit at most −5 696.59 ₽

float premium: at least 5 490 ₽

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×6

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5126

2 136.00 ₽

at 356.00

Steam

×3

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

1 471.68 ₽

at 490.56

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

611.15 ₽

at 611.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 218.83 ₽ +92.02 (+2.2%)

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5086

2 136.00 ₽

at 356.00

Steam

×2

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

981.12 ₽

at 490.56

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1796

1 222.30 ₽

at 611.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 339.42 ₽ +33.53 (+0.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 638.51 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 133.63 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 356.31 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 844.08 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −476.01 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.47 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971849 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 91.97₽ · invest 4 224.20₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.512614; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.176184

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build