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The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +29.14₽

Invest 130.74₽

Average return 159.88₽

ROI +22.3%

Chance of profit 78%

With float: invest at least 324.06 ₽, profit at most −164.18 ₽

float premium: at least 181 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

88.65 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

42.09 ₽

at 42.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.74 ₽ +29.14 (+22.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 38%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

201.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

158.08 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

248.56 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.36 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

149.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082499

311.42 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067499

216.84 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Last Dive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

121.20 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Scaffold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

194.18 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Seasons

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

145.62 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.67 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.10 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971742 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 32.19₽ · invest 120.65₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 2971452 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 29.69₽ · invest 123.61₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165777 instead of 0.165610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build