to all crafts

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +19.10$

Invest 84.78$

Average return 103.88$

ROI +22.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 198.61 $, profit at most −94.73 $

float premium: at least 111 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +20.42 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

38.01 $

at 7.60

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

27.10 $

at 9.03

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

19.67 $

at 9.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.78 $ +19.10 (+22.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

15.24 $

at 15.24

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

18.07 $

at 9.03

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

68.85 $

at 9.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.16 $ +18.10 (+17.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

30.41 $

at 7.60

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

9.03 $

at 9.03

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

49.18 $

at 9.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88.62 $ +19.35 (+21.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

84.53 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

107.28 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

227.33 $ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

58.70 $ 25.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980739 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15.94$ · invest 74.57$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074187 instead of 0.074242

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build