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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −141.84₽

Invest at least 380.24₽

Average return 238.40₽

ROI −37.3%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 380.24 ₽, profit at most −141.84 ₽

float premium: at least 206 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +90.41 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

13.10 ₽

at 13.10

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

109.60 ₽

at 13.70

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

31.52 ₽

at 31.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.22 ₽ +84.18 (+54.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −145 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

101.68 ₽

at 25.42

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

94.56 ₽

at 31.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

205.62 ₽

at 68.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 401.86 ₽ +30.62 (+7.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

13.70 ₽

at 13.70

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

127.10 ₽

at 25.42

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

126.08 ₽

at 31.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.88 ₽ +87.97 (+33.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

127.10 ₽

at 25.42

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

63.04 ₽

at 31.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

137.07 ₽

at 45.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.21 ₽ +66.46 (+20.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.061710

135.14 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

77.02 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

361.56 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

457.95 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

115.94 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082894

925.97 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

516.21 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.057105

833.30 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082894

428.15 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48.38 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +76.55 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2972402 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 88.59₽ · invest 189.35₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested)
Craft 2972569 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 80.63₽ · invest 155.53₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075648; StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075648

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build