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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −117.79₴

Invest at least 351.87₴

Average return 234.08₴

ROI −33.5%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 351.87 ₴, profit at most −117.79 ₴

float premium: at least 201 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.51 ₴

at 65.51

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

79.99 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.50 ₴ +88.59 (+60.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

126.09 ₴

at 42.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.51 ₴

at 65.51

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

53.33 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.93 ₴ +47.65 (+19.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

210.16 ₴

at 42.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.51 ₴

at 65.51

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

35.55 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 311.21 ₴ +20.37 (+6.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

200.96 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

232.41 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384.94 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

253.94 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

161.59 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

239.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

861.39 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

847.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

304.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

103.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +49.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +82.51 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2974542 · The Fever Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 90.36₴ · invest 175.51₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build