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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −103.41₴

Invest at least 302.87₴

Average return 199.46₴

ROI −34.1%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 302.87 ₴, profit at most −103.41 ₴

float premium: at least 171 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

19.90 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

64.58 ₴

at 9.23

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

43.08 ₴

at 21.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.56 ₴ +71.90 (+56.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

39.79 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

99.58 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

107.71 ₴

at 21.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 247.07 ₴ +45.77 (+18.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

19.90 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

42.03 ₴

at 42.03

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

55.35 ₴

at 9.23

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

43.08 ₴

at 21.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 160.36 ₴ +62.44 (+38.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

165.96 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

42.03 ₴

at 42.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

9.23 ₴

at 9.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

64.62 ₴

at 21.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 281.84 ₴ +34.35 (+12.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

166.07 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

289.74 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

150.76 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226.15 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

239.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

861.39 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

847.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

304.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

103.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +40.25 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2975381 · The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 75.82₴ · invest 132.73₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build