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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +205.26₴

Invest 229.15₴

Average return 434.40₴

ROI +89.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 565.51 ₴, profit at most −131.11 ₴

float premium: at least 332 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

27.79 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

164.09 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 229.15 ₴ +205.26 (+89.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

55.57 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

143.58 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.42 ₴ +183.16 (+77.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

83.36 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

123.07 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 243.70 ₴ +161.07 (+66.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

111.15 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

102.56 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 250.97 ₴ +138.98 (+55.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

138.93 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

82.05 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 258.25 ₴ +116.88 (+45.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 20%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

267.61 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 908.45 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

89.81 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

150.58 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

166.59 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

261.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

834.05 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

345.68 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

243.41 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

46.49 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +121.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +187.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2973112 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 188.93₴ · invest 223.49₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build