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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −341.90₴

Invest at least 614.91₴

Average return 273.00₴

ROI −55.6%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 614.91 ₴, profit at most −341.90 ₴

float premium: at least 342 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +9.69 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

99.48 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

99.58 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

65.23 ₴

at 32.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 264.28 ₴ +8.72 (+3.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

99.48 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

132.77 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

32.61 ₴

at 32.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 264.86 ₴ +9.69 (+3.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

99.48 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

66.38 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

97.84 ₴

at 32.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.71 ₴ +7.75 (+2.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

99.48 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

33.19 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

130.46 ₴

at 32.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.13 ₴ +6.77 (+2.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

152.08 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

181.04 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

847.05 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

304.16 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

103.28 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

658.72 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

174.73 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094230

232.96 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

228.80 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

203.26 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −30.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.45 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build