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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +98.49₴

Invest 427.34₴

Average return 525.83₴

ROI +23.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 075.24 ₴, profit at most −549.41 ₴

float premium: at least 596 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

103.55 ₴

at 103.55

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

323.79 ₴

at 35.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 427.34 ₴ +98.49 (+23.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −90 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

83.95 ₴

at 83.95

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

103.55 ₴

at 103.55

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

287.81 ₴

at 35.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 475.31 ₴ +94.37 (+19.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −186 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

167.90 ₴

at 83.95

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

103.55 ₴

at 103.55

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

251.84 ₴

at 35.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 523.28 ₴ +90.26 (+17.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −282 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

251.84 ₴

at 83.95

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

103.55 ₴

at 103.55

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

215.86 ₴

at 35.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 571.25 ₴ +86.14 (+15.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −571 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

503.69 ₴

at 83.95

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

103.55 ₴

at 103.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

107.93 ₴

at 35.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 715.17 ₴ +73.80 (+10.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

887.67 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

326.97 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

448.16 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

784.71 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 241.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 150.00 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.61 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +86.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build