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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +12.26$

Invest 11.47$

Average return 23.73$

ROI +106.9%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 28.60 $, profit at most −4.87 $

float premium: at least 16 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

8.56 $

at 1.07

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

2.91 $

at 1.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.47 $ +12.26 (+106.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

1.07 $

at 1.07

Steam

×8

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

20.51 $

at 2.56

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

5.49 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.06 $ +1.96 (+7.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

4.28 $

at 1.07

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.17 $

at 2.17

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

12.82 $

at 2.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.27 $ +7.48 (+38.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.51 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.01 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.13 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

30.99 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

46.63 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

25.12 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.93 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2974130 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12.10$ · invest 11.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164754 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2969825 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 11.34$ · invest 9.70$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161715 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2974131 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.23$ · invest 11.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163162 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2973473 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 10.46$ · invest 9.64$
sells slowly

Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested), P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161751 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2974103 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.43$ · invest 9.32$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161991 instead of 0.163747

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build