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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +17 240.64₽

Invest 24 776.16₽

Average return 42 016.80₽

ROI +69.6%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 58 959.24 ₽, profit at most −16 942.44 ₽

float premium: at least 32 604 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +24 678.39 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 491 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −5 044.71 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

13 665.42 ₽

at 2 277.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6 598.35 ₽

at 2 199.45

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

4 512.39 ₽

at 4 512.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 776.16 ₽ +17 240.64 (+69.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

2 277.57 ₽

at 2 277.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

6 598.35 ₽

at 2 199.45

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

27 074.34 ₽

at 4 512.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 950.26 ₽ +24 678.39 (+68.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

4 555.14 ₽

at 2 277.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

6 598.35 ₽

at 2 199.45

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

22 561.95 ₽

at 4 512.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 715.44 ₽ +23 190.84 (+68.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

6 832.71 ₽

at 2 277.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

6 598.35 ₽

at 2 199.45

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

18 049.56 ₽

at 4 512.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 480.62 ₽ +21 703.29 (+68.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

9 110.28 ₽

at 2 277.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

6 598.35 ₽

at 2 199.45

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

13 537.17 ₽

at 4 512.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 245.80 ₽ +20 215.74 (+69.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

40 242.76 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

22 150.06 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

113 700.76 ₽ 20.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

19 866.60 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 425.02 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16 206.81 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2968358 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 19 729.35₽ · invest 32 563.36₽
marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078525 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007460 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2971871 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 19 287.86₽ · invest 35 250.30₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2980985 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 18 711.15₽ · invest 34 587.51₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2976887 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 813.23₽ · invest 33 850.11₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2963318 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 764.24₽ · invest 31 182.68₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075649 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004943 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2975119 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 578.40₽ · invest 28 766.04₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2985387 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 203.39₽ · invest 32 954.19₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079269 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008111 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2988134 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 713.82₽ · invest 33 460.17₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080374 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009077 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2977570 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 585.83₽ · invest 29 592.80₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2978179 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 411.78₽ · invest 28 527.52₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077288 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006377 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2979503 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 274.52₽ · invest 28 766.04₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079194 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.004214
Craft 2988445 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15 639.38₽ · invest 31 087.72₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078148 instead of 0.074816; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007130 instead of 0.004214

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build