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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +52.31$

Invest 111.62$

Average return 163.93$

ROI +46.9%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 259.39 $, profit at most −95.46 $

float premium: at least 149 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +80.49 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0835

29.99 $

at 7.50

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

29.60 $

at 14.80

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

52.03 $

at 13.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.62 $ +52.31 (+46.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.15 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85.40 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

269.70 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

280.56 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +41.52 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2982133 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 63.01$ · invest 94.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076833 instead of 0.079442
Craft 2975788 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 55.85$ · invest 73.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075766 instead of 0.079442
Craft 2969231 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 50.92$ · invest 88.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076423 instead of 0.079442

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build