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The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +43.64$

Invest 67.22$

Average return 110.86$

ROI +64.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 160.13 $, profit at most −49.27 $

float premium: at least 89 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +65.16 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

38.56 $

at 6.43

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

10.59 $

at 5.30

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

18.07 $

at 9.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.22 $ +43.64 (+64.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

6.43 $

at 6.43

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

68.85 $

at 9.84

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

40.42 $

at 20.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.70 $ +63.20 (+54.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

12.85 $

at 6.43

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

68.85 $

at 9.84

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

20.21 $

at 20.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.92 $ +63.38 (+62.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

32.14 $

at 6.43

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

5.30 $

at 5.30

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

36.14 $

at 9.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.57 $ +50.90 (+69.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

53.98 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

75.81 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

227.33 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.45 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +39.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980551 · The Horizon Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 44.95$ · invest 77.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170103 instead of 0.167492; FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082778 instead of 0.076084

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build