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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −20 522.84₸

Invest at least 79 129.24₸

Average return 58 606.34₸

ROI −25.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 79 129.24 ₸, profit at most −20 522.84 ₸

float premium: at least 44 807 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +38 802.32 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

17 444.59 ₸

at 2 907.43

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

10 015.28 ₸

at 3 338.43

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

5 883.69 ₸

at 5 883.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 343.56 ₸ +25 262.78 (+75.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 349 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

11 629.73 ₸

at 2 907.43

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

3 338.43 ₸

at 3 338.43

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

29 418.46 ₸

at 5 883.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44 386.61 ₸ +30 759.95 (+69.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

14 537.16 ₸

at 2 907.43

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

6 676.85 ₸

at 3 338.43

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

17 651.08 ₸

at 5 883.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38 865.09 ₸ +28 011.37 (+72.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 884 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 907.43 ₸

at 2 907.43

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

47 069.53 ₸

at 5 883.69

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

13 200.26 ₸

at 13 200.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63 177.23 ₸ +36 779.60 (+58.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 343 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

5 814.86 ₸

at 2 907.43

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

47 069.53 ₸

at 5 883.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52 884.40 ₸ +38 802.32 (+73.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

24 416.47 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

34 293.33 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 004.37 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 917.53 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14 389.45 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21 127.10 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2982133 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 28 505.31₸ · invest 42 893.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179671 instead of 0.166579; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076833 instead of 0.075766
Craft 2974947 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23 663.42₸ · invest 50 492.47₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079442 instead of 0.075766
Craft 2969231 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23 032.67₸ · invest 40 120.49₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168467 instead of 0.166579; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076423 instead of 0.075766

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build