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The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +8.28$

Invest 8.57$

Average return 16.85$

ROI +96.6%

Chance of profit 42%

With float: invest at least 20.34 $, profit at most −3.48 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +9.88 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

2.62 $

at 0.87

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1.11 $

at 0.55

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

4.84 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.57 $ +8.28 (+96.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

1.75 $

at 0.87

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1.14 $

at 0.38

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

4.84 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.73 $ +6.79 (+87.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

1.90 $

at 0.38

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

3.87 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.64 $ +5.54 (+83.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 6%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

24.69 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.20 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.48 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.91 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.61 $ 6.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.25 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

109.84 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

6.97 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

38.22 $ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2979448 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 10.45$ · invest 7.63$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.166322
Craft 2979086 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 9.87$ · invest 7.21$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.166322
Craft 2979185 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 9.63$ · invest 8.07$
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.166322
Craft 2978920 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 9.45$ · invest 9.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.166322
Craft 2967951 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 9.31$ · invest 9.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.166322

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build