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The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +12.95₴

Invest 172.25₴

Average return 185.21₴

ROI +7.5%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 417.17 ₴, profit at most −231.96 ₴

float premium: at least 249 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

28.15 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

120.81 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

23.29 ₴

at 23.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172.25 ₴ +12.95 (+7.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

28.15 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

100.68 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×2

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

48.92 ₴

at 24.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 177.75 ₴ +7.77 (+4.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

28.15 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

80.54 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×2

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

48.92 ₴

at 24.46

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

27.53 ₴

at 27.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.15 ₴ +0.68 (+0.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 4%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

248.37 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

176.90 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | PAW

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

159.03 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

287.47 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

205.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

226.09 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

202.91 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951801 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 13.21₴ · invest 171.48₴
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164711 instead of 0.162960; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075116 instead of 0.074507

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build