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The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +19.88₸

Invest 142.79₸

Average return 162.67₸

ROI +13.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 333.49 ₸, profit at most −170.81 ₸

float premium: at least 149 ₸

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×4

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

54.41 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

61.18 ₸

at 15.30

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Sage Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1734

27.20 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.79 ₸ +19.88 (+13.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×6

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

81.61 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

45.89 ₸

at 15.30

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Sage Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

13.60 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.10 ₸ +25.35 (+18.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

13.60 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

76.48 ₸

at 15.30

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Sage Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

54.41 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.48 ₸ +10.60 (+7.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

13.60 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

61.18 ₸

at 15.30

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Sage Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

54.41 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

19.12 ₸

at 19.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.31 ₸ +3.00 (+2.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

40.81 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

61.18 ₸

at 15.30

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Sage Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

40.81 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.79 ₸ +16.11 (+11.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 4%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

122.80 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

132.25 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564.88 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

82.76 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

76.04 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

156.06 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

104.44 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

103.79 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

94.12 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

303.12 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Radiant Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 only The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.20 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.11 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951786 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 18.92₸ · invest 142.79₸
PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New): float at most 0.005252 instead of 0.006258

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build