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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −197.26₴

Invest at least 503.25₴

Average return 305.99₴

ROI −39.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 503.25 ₴, profit at most −197.26 ₴

float premium: at least 302 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +113.77 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

9.38 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

140.95 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

55.91 ₴

at 27.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206.24 ₴ +99.75 (+48.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

120.81 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×2

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

28.01 ₴

at 14.00

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

55.91 ₴

at 27.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 204.73 ₴ +67.36 (+32.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

60.41 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

56.02 ₴

at 14.00

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

83.87 ₴

at 27.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.29 ₴ +20.95 (+10.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

18.77 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×3

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

42.01 ₴

at 14.00

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

139.78 ₴

at 27.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.56 ₴ +3.73 (+1.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

393.30 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

388.45 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.084999

193.94 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081999

212.26 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

181.64 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +64.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +84.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980131 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 96.47₴ · invest 216.99₴
nothing instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Monster Melt: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081316 instead of 0.074868; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.000999 instead of 0.004259
Craft 2980267 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 88.00₴ · invest 200.23₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074868
Craft 2980133 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 85.65₴ · invest 224.81₴
nothing instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Monster Melt: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080902 instead of 0.074868; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.007439 instead of 0.004259
Craft 2976174 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 83.94₴ · invest 191.35₴
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074497 instead of 0.074868
Craft 2965769 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 83.11₴ · invest 157.15₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161634 instead of 0.163995; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074046 instead of 0.074868
Craft 2980323 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 78.75₴ · invest 193.31₴
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear), Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074868
Craft 2963862 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 75.50₴ · invest 211.88₴
SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164600 instead of 0.163995; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075078 instead of 0.074868

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build