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The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +67.95₴

Invest 110.92₴

Average return 178.87₴

ROI +61.3%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 279.29 ₴, profit at most −100.41 ₴

float premium: at least 162 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

84.45 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

26.47 ₴

at 26.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.92 ₴ +67.95 (+61.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

248.37 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

176.90 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292857

140.33 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

146.22 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

worst

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.207142

131.41 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081428

155.32 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2962813 · The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 63.59₴ · invest 112.79₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165913 instead of 0.163906
Craft 2980077 · The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 62.95₴ · invest 105.21₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162861 instead of 0.163906

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build