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The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +16.67$

Invest 36.38$

Average return 53.06$

ROI +45.8%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 85.62 $, profit at most −32.56 $

float premium: at least 49 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

4.54 $

at 4.54

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

15.38 $

at 2.56

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

16.46 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.38 $ +16.67 (+45.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

4.54 $

at 4.54

Steam

×2

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

17.38 $

at 8.69

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

15.38 $

at 2.56

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

5.49 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.79 $ +3.11 (+7.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4.54 $

at 4.54

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

8.69 $

at 8.69

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

15.38 $

at 2.56

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

10.97 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.59 $ +9.89 (+25.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

123.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.63 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

25.12 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

24.01 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.39 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951227 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.34$ · invest 35.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078744 instead of 0.075850; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007651 instead of 0.005119

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build