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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −146 200.92₸

Invest at least 437 346.49₸

Average return 291 145.57₸

ROI −33.4%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 437 346.49 ₸, profit at most −146 200.92 ₸

float premium: at least 243 465 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +129 358.24 ₸ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −110 824.97 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

54 295.37 ₸

at 18 098.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

36 043.69 ₸

at 12 014.56

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

98 596.28 ₸

at 24 649.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188 935.34 ₸ +102 210.23 (+54.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

18 098.46 ₸

at 18 098.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0804

36 043.69 ₸

at 12 014.56

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

147 894.41 ₸

at 24 649.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 202 036.56 ₸ +129 358.24 (+64.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

36 196.91 ₸

at 18 098.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

36 043.69 ₸

at 12 014.56

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

123 245.34 ₸

at 24 649.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 195 485.95 ₸ +115 784.24 (+59.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

72 393.83 ₸

at 18 098.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

36 043.69 ₸

at 12 014.56

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

73 947.21 ₸

at 24 649.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182 384.72 ₸ +88 636.22 (+48.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 666 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

90 492.28 ₸

at 18 098.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

36 043.69 ₸

at 12 014.56

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

49 298.14 ₸

at 24 649.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 175 834.11 ₸ +75 062.22 (+42.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

621 093.89 ₸ 35.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

108 521.91 ₸ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

228 863.54 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

116 764.82 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +92 432.41 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +100 422.34 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2968358 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 107 772.16₸ · invest 177 878.35₸
marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078525 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007460 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2971871 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 105 360.50₸ · invest 192 555.85₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2976887 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 97 305.29₸ · invest 184 907.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)
Craft 2963318 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 97 037.71₸ · invest 170 336.35₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075649 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004943 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2975119 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 96 022.54₸ · invest 157 135.38₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2974222 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 94 177.51₸ · invest 135 340.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −13 606 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074816 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004214 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2985387 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 93 974.07₸ · invest 180 013.27₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079269 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008111 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2988134 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 91 299.78₸ · invest 182 777.21₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080374 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009077 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2977570 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 90 600.60₸ · invest 161 651.58₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2978179 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 89 649.84₸ · invest 155 832.45₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077288 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006377 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2979503 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 88 900.06₸ · invest 157 135.38₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079194 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2988445 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85 430.58₸ · invest 169 817.62₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078148 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007130 instead of 0.008739

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build