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The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +34.92$

Invest 43.72$

Average return 78.64$

ROI +79.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 106.24 $, profit at most −27.60 $

float premium: at least 58 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

4.51 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

35.07 $

at 7.01

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

4.14 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.72 $ +34.92 (+79.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

1.01 $

at 1.01

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

1.13 $

at 1.13

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

2.30 $

at 2.30

Steam

×7

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

28.98 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.41 $ +2.41 (+7.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

3.38 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

35.07 $

at 7.01

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

2.30 $

at 2.30

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

4.14 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.90 $ +27.63 (+61.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1.01 $

at 1.01

Steam

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.25 $

at 1.13

Steam

×7

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

28.98 $

at 4.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.24 $ +9.70 (+30.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

32.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

28.66 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076799

24.09 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076799

16.50 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

39.29 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.95 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30.22 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2954305 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 33.87$ · invest 49.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.161510; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.003503
Craft 2981010 · The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 33.42$ · invest 47.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.161510; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003503
Craft 2981034 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 33.24$ · invest 49.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.161510; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003503

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build