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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 478.90₸

Invest at least 4 470.43₸

Average return 1 991.53₸

ROI −55.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 4 470.43 ₸, profit at most −2 478.90 ₸

float premium: at least 2 736 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 263.48 ₸

at 140.39

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

531.23 ₸

at 531.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 794.71 ₸ +196.81 (+11.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.148749

1 944.11 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143499

2 127.71 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

1 820.77 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128749

3 296.36 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 187.04 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

3 795.37 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rising Skull

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 621.30 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −91.83 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +129.95 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2984185 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 179.46₸ · invest 1 528.80₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.163043

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build