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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −294.10₽

Invest at least 891.49₽

Average return 597.39₽

ROI −33.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 891.49 ₽, profit at most −294.10 ₽

float premium: at least 489 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +220.14 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

145.71 ₽

at 48.57

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

60.87 ₽

at 60.87

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

91.40 ₽

at 22.85

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

97.08 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 395.06 ₽ +202.33 (+51.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

48.57 ₽

at 48.57

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

121.74 ₽

at 60.87

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

68.55 ₽

at 22.85

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

194.16 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 433.02 ₽ +200.43 (+46.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

696.46 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

466.24 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 395.93 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.186170

257.51 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

526.96 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147872

553.35 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.036382

414.88 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 145.71 → 329.30 ₽

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 60.87 → 131.48 ₽

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 91.40 → 216.16 ₽

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 97.08 → 214.55 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.095744581

outcomes come out up to 0.067021, 0.095744, 0.149999, 0.186170, 0.095744, 0.147872, 0.036382

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +123.27 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +171.12 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build