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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +42.63$

Invest 36.93$

Average return 79.56$

ROI +115.4%

Chance of profit 73%

With float: invest at least 89.77 $, profit at most −10.21 $

float premium: at least 52 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

20.24 $

at 5.06

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

16.70 $

at 2.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.93 $ +42.63 (+115.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

9.38 $

at 3.13

Steam

×3

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

15.18 $

at 5.06

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

11.13 $

at 2.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.69 $ +34.60 (+96.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

25.02 $

at 3.13

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

5.06 $

at 5.06

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

2.78 $

at 2.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.86 $ +23.51 (+71.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

5.06 $

at 5.06

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

16.70 $

at 2.78

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

35.35 $

at 11.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.11 $ +36.37 (+63.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

10.12 $

at 5.06

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

16.70 $

at 2.78

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

23.57 $

at 11.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.38 $ +38.45 (+76.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

163.45 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

153.49 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

13.01 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126899

12.00 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.85 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980967 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 48.01$ · invest 44.76$
sells slowly

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2984090 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 47.50$ · invest 42.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2981454 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 45.49$ · invest 51.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2986160 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 42.14$ · invest 38.92$
sells slowly

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2979480 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.15$ · invest 46.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162022 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2988568 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.14$ · invest 34.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165358 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2988735 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 38.52$ · invest 40.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163812 instead of 0.163094
Craft 2968342 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 37.60$ · invest 36.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.163094

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build