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The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.09$

Invest 7.94$

Average return 15.03$

ROI +89.4%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 20.03 $, profit at most −5.01 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

6.16 $

at 0.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.78 $

at 1.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.94 $ +7.09 (+89.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

2.05 $

at 0.68

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

10.68 $

at 1.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.13 $ +6.08 (+46.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.79 $

at 0.40

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

12.46 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1.98 $

at 1.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.23 $ +5.66 (+37.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

4.10 $

at 0.68

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

3.56 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1.98 $

at 1.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.04 $ +6.66 (+66.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.74 $

at 0.68

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

8.90 $

at 1.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.03 $ +6.34 (+52.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 20%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43.94 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

20.00 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.83 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

9.14 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

2.68 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

8.90 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

30.32 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

53.32 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.23 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2985629 · The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 7.32$ · invest 8.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165753 instead of 0.164779
Craft 2976462 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6.94$ · invest 7.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164779
Craft 2985819 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 6.91$ · invest 7.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164779
Craft 2983118 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6.88$ · invest 7.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164779
Craft 2980679 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6.63$ · invest 7.25$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164779
Craft 2973893 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6.59$ · invest 7.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164779

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build