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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +223.03₴

Invest 662.44₴

Average return 885.46₴

ROI +33.7%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 1 646.44 ₴, profit at most −760.98 ₴

float premium: at least 914 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

65.61 ₴

at 65.61

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

501.34 ₴

at 62.67

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

95.48 ₴

at 95.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 662.44 ₴ +223.03 (+33.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

131.22 ₴

at 65.61

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

98.09 ₴

at 98.09

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

313.34 ₴

at 62.67

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

190.97 ₴

at 95.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 733.62 ₴ +155.99 (+21.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

328.05 ₴

at 65.61

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

231.37 ₴

at 115.68

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

286.45 ₴

at 95.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 845.87 ₴ +52.02 (+6.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

669.24 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 746.89 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096999

631.57 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

1 398.62 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

586.95 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

1 133.61 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +98.93 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +160.85 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2984027 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 211.27₴ · invest 754.55₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077346 instead of 0.074636; UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New): float at most 0.006427 instead of 0.004056
Craft 2987857 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 205.47₴ · invest 684.10₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2952064 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 203.26₴ · invest 673.35₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2988234 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 202.34₴ · invest 665.99₴
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074466 instead of 0.074636; UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New): float at most 0.003908 instead of 0.004056
Craft 2988375 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 200.91₴ · invest 700.62₴
rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076064 instead of 0.074636; UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New): float at most 0.005306 instead of 0.004056

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build