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The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +122.95₽

Invest 676.25₽

Average return 799.20₽

ROI +18.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 666.02 ₽, profit at most −866.83 ₽

float premium: at least 985 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

436.86 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

×1

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

239.39 ₽

at 239.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 676.25 ₽ +122.95 (+18.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

45.70 ₽

at 22.85

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

291.24 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

×2

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

478.78 ₽

at 239.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 815.72 ₽ +41.04 (+5.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

696.46 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

466.24 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 395.93 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.056382

2 231.61 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

798.13 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.93 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +71.59 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build