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The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −398.63₴

Invest at least 1 435.01₴

Average return 1 036.38₴

ROI −27.8%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 435.01 ₴, profit at most −398.63 ₴

float premium: at least 830 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

69.51 ₴

at 34.76

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

442.72 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

70.58 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 582.81 ₴ +453.57 (+77.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

34.76 ₴

at 34.76

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

442.72 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

141.16 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 618.64 ₴ +353.60 (+57.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1754

34.76 ₴

at 34.76

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

379.47 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

211.74 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 625.97 ₴ +282.13 (+45.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

34.76 ₴

at 34.76

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

316.23 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

282.32 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 633.31 ₴ +210.65 (+33.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1742

34.76 ₴

at 34.76

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

252.98 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

352.90 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 640.64 ₴ +139.17 (+21.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

360.57 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 373.30 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 202.93 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

125.59 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089374

328.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 116.01 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

378.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

288.37 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +234.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +354.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2981461 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 450.06₴ · invest 584.88₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163100 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074556 instead of 0.074124
Craft 2981462 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 443.66₴ · invest 584.88₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164741 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075127 instead of 0.074124
Craft 2988823 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 419.57₴ · invest 642.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.074124

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build