The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −93 526.94₸

Invest 141 000.32₸

Average return 47 473.38₸

ROI −66.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 147 180.95 ₸, profit −99 707.57 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −97 165.80 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (by listings)

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

any lot

120 000.22 ₸

at 30 000.05

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Field-Tested

any lot

21 000.10 ₸

at 21 000.10

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 141 000.32 ₸ −93 526.94 (−66.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 94%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072323

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

best

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236009

116 764.60 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904038

82 192.95 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904038

51 399.90 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904038

71 926.12 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

38 454.69 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

42 918.39 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

82 787.82 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

62 244.34 ₸ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

42 999.68 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

37 948.53 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

52 253.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

73 489.56 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072323

103 023.33 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236009

61 612.21 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904038

36 714.00 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904038

30 398.98 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904038

43 974.25 ₸ 1.54%

price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

23 893.98 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

22 215.68 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

37 071.36 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

22 749.47 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

20 267.74 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

23 251.59 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728988

26 272.04 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

52 638.69 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −98 408.47 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −94 165.84 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2993986 · The Gallery Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −93 526.93₸ · invest 141 000.32₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2994126 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −96 602.16₸ · invest 149 916.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested)
Craft 2994130 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −96 602.16₸ · invest 149 916.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build