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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +853.30₸

Invest 2 996.14₸

Average return 3 849.44₸

ROI +28.5%

Chance of profit 65%

With float: invest at least 7 136.90 ₸, profit at most −3 287.46 ₸

float premium: at least 4 028 ₸

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

996.15 ₸

at 249.04

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0022

1 487.17 ₸

at 297.43

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1776

512.82 ₸

at 512.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 996.14 ₸ +853.30 (+28.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

498.07 ₸

at 249.04

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0019

1 784.61 ₸

at 297.43

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1840

1 025.64 ₸

at 512.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 308.32 ₸ +603.01 (+18.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 315.31 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.029166

6 111.31 ₸ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

1 640.45 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102499

2 179.66 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

11 182.50 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 016.71 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

2 890.66 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +174.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +461.58 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2998239 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 899.25₸ · invest 2 634.19₸
pricier variants exist

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003897 instead of 0.002292
Craft 2998779 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 882.07₸ · invest 2 826.80₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003098 instead of 0.002292
Craft 2998683 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 812.39₸ · invest 2 800.64₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004059 instead of 0.002292

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build