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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +33.56₴

Invest 52.64₴

Average return 86.20₴

ROI +63.8%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 122.03 ₴, profit at most −35.83 ₴

float premium: at least 59 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +99.41 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1574

12.81 ₴

at 12.81

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

17.43 ₴

at 2.90

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0020

22.40 ₴

at 7.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.64 ₴ +33.56 (+63.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

25.62 ₴

at 12.81

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

92.60 ₴

at 30.87

souvenirSteam

×5

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

37.33 ₴

at 7.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 155.55 ₴ +98.43 (+63.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

38.43 ₴

at 12.81

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

30.87 ₴

at 30.87

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

44.79 ₴

at 7.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.09 ₴ +97.94 (+85.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.068939

114.72 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074242

33.40 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074242

19.69 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.053030

201.36 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

317.70 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.051969

205.51 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1 408.44 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 only The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.28 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.45 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3000931 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 30.46₴ · invest 52.64₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162228 instead of 0.157472; XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New): float at most 0.003721 instead of 0.002043

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build