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The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +2 668.86₽

Invest 5 896.90₽

Average return 8 565.76₽

ROI +45.3%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 14 329.88 ₽, profit at most −5 764.12 ₽

float premium: at least 7 535 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 775.19 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

3 250.60 ₽

at 812.65

Steam

×6

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

2 646.30 ₽

at 441.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 896.90 ₽ +2 668.86 (+45.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 73%
About break-even 13%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 283.44 ₽ 60.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

6 526.14 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

6 403.09 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 174.95 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +919.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 316.37 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3001637 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2 665.04₽ · invest 5 841.28₽
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.006577 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3001496 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 2 480.15₽ · invest 4 617.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested), CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004451 instead of 0.006756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build