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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −530.53₴

Invest at least 1 826.27₴

Average return 1 295.75₴

ROI −29.1%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 1 826.27 ₴, profit at most −530.53 ₴

float premium: at least 1 090 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Red FragCam

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

152.01 ₴

at 152.01

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

34.27 ₴

at 34.27

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

549.78 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 736.05 ₴ +559.70 (+76.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Red FragCam

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

152.01 ₴

at 152.01

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

358.79 ₴

at 179.39

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

481.06 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 991.85 ₴ +400.24 (+40.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

896.97 ₴

at 179.39

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

206.17 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

182.01 ₴

at 91.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 285.15 ₴ +203.28 (+15.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

420.62 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 971.25 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 222.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

124.55 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

349.74 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 145.45 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

697.23 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

2 762.27 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +284.34 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +436.92 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3004877 · The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 616.92₴ · invest 730.20₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.163150; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.074574
Craft 3030807 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 583.57₴ · invest 651.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.163150; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074574
Craft 3036178 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 574.25₴ · invest 642.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.163150; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074574
Craft 3027372 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 558.82₴ · invest 634.44₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.163150; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.074574
Craft 3026844 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 558.42₴ · invest 623.50₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.163150; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074574

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build