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The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +41.39$

Invest 166.28$

Average return 207.67$

ROI +24.9%

Chance of profit 65%

With float: invest at least 398.21 $, profit at most −190.54 $

float premium: at least 214 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +43.31 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

45.18 $

at 22.59

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

26.77 $

at 26.77

Steam

×7

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

94.33 $

at 13.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.28 $ +41.39 (+24.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −111 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

180.71 $

at 22.59

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

26.77 $

at 26.77

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

13.48 $

at 13.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 220.96 $ +4.78 (+2.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −92 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

158.12 $

at 22.59

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

26.77 $

at 26.77

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

26.95 $

at 13.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 211.85 $ +10.88 (+5.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

135.54 $

at 22.59

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

26.77 $

at 26.77

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

40.43 $

at 13.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 202.73 $ +16.98 (+8.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311.10 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

145.76 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

230.04 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

296.09 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3013255 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 31.09$ · invest 128.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested), P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 7; Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169954 instead of 0.161711

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build