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The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −13 903.33₸

Invest 40 997.08₸

Average return 27 093.75₸

ROI −33.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 40 997.08 ₸, profit −13 903.33 ₸

float premium: 13 571 ₸ (49.5%)

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈25% of lots fit ≈ enough for 14 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

AUG | Death by Puppy

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2821

2 018.08 ₸

at 2 018.08

Steam

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7660

24 814.40 ₸

at 2 757.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 832.48 ₸ +261.27 (+1.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.759999

33 805.94 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.607999

31 668.67 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Wildfire

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.534399

18 572.59 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

15 312.61 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 784.36 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −711.93 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3012792 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 245.77₸ · invest 30 668.32₸
rare inputs

FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.574999 instead of 0.766063
Craft 3020235 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 235.88₸ · invest 28 851.32₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Well-Worn) instead of AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.603703 instead of 0.766063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build