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The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1.47$

Invest 58.31$

Average return 59.77$

ROI +2.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 147.89 $, profit at most −88.11 $

float premium: at least 89 $

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

22% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

AUG | Stymphalian

Battle-Scarred

any lot

3.44 $

at 3.44

Steam

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5384

54.86 $

at 6.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.31 $ +1.47 (+2.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

74.74 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.467692

70.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Neo-Noir

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.526153

33.68 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Bloodsport

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

38.29 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.46 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3019254 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.54$ · invest 59.33$
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) instead of AUG | Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.538461

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build