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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit · by float −1.57$ by average prices it would be +1.67

Invest 64.99$

Average return 63.42$

ROI −2.4% market check 20.10 15:50 MSK

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 67.39 $, profit −4.71 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 11 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Field-Tested

any lot

6.41 $

at 6.41

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

any lot

54.60 $

at 6.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.01 $ +1.67 (+2.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Well-Worn

float up to 0.418000

71.41 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.334400

75.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.321700

66.53 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.209000

57.49 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3015762 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.54$ · invest 58.62$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): float at most 0.360689 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3019350 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1.52$ · invest 62.62$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): float at most 0.359722 instead of 0.380000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build