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The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +3 574.02₸

Invest 25 363.61₸

Average return 28 937.63₸

ROI +14.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 63 582.07 ₸, profit at most −34 644.44 ₸

float premium: at least 37 485 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

3 329.90 ₸

at 3 329.90

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 576.32 ₸

at 1 576.32

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

20 457.38 ₸

at 2 557.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 363.61 ₸ +3 574.02 (+14.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6 659.80 ₸

at 3 329.90

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

1 576.32 ₸

at 1 576.32

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

17 900.21 ₸

at 2 557.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 136.33 ₸ +2 164.31 (+8.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

24 028.95 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 992.57 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

27 150.23 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

26 221.33 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Gallery Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +526.10 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 407.44 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3032567 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3 778.78₸ · invest 25 638.97₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172999 instead of 0.168376; UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076391
Craft 3034171 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3 702.58₸ · invest 28 128.79₸
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165188 instead of 0.168376; UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.076391

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build