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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.63$

Invest 3.60$

Average return 7.23$

ROI +100.9%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 8.65 $, profit at most −1.42 $

float premium: at least 5 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.74 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

2.11 $

at 0.30

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

0.38 $

at 0.38

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1.10 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.60 $ +3.63 (+100.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

0.60 $

at 0.30

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

4.97 $

at 0.83

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

3.07 $

at 1.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.64 $ +4.16 (+48.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

0.17 $

at 0.17

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

2.42 $

at 0.30

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

0.38 $

at 0.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.97 $ +2.04 (+68.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

0.91 $

at 0.30

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

4.97 $

at 0.83

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

1.53 $

at 1.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.41 $ +4.27 (+57.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 28%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

3.09 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4.27 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.50 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

4.00 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3.51 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

29.23 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.22 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

10.06 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

14.57 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3017855 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.22$ · invest 3.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164724 instead of 0.161510; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164724 instead of 0.161510; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164724 instead of 0.161510

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build