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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −165.74₽

Invest at least 373.97₽

Average return 208.24₽

ROI −44.3%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 373.97 ₽, profit at most −165.74 ₽

float premium: at least 210 ₽

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +116.13 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0815

38.24 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×5

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

54.25 ₽

at 10.85

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

68.79 ₽

at 22.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.28 ₽ +46.96 (+29.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

19.12 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×6

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

65.10 ₽

at 10.85

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

68.79 ₽

at 22.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.01 ₽ +40.53 (+26.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

95.60 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×3

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

32.55 ₽

at 10.85

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

45.86 ₽

at 22.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.01 ₽ +78.33 (+45.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

76.48 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×4

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0736

43.40 ₽

at 10.85

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0032

45.86 ₽

at 22.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.74 ₽ +71.90 (+43.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1593

9.01 ₽

at 9.01

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

38.24 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×4

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0732

43.40 ₽

at 10.85

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0028

68.79 ₽

at 22.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.44 ₽ +63.50 (+39.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 16%
About break-even 20%

about break-even

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

179.36 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.66 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285.00 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

137.13 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.16 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

427.83 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

359.18 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

555.36 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

342.67 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188.53 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.11 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.53 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build