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The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +72.13₽

Invest 179.55₽

Average return 251.68₽

ROI +40.2%

Chance of profit 56%

With float: invest at least 431.51 ₽, profit at most −179.83 ₽

float premium: at least 248 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +105.67 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

114.72 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×3

P250 | Re.built

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

35.28 ₽

at 11.76

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Fragments

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

29.55 ₽

at 29.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.55 ₽ +72.13 (+40.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

95.60 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

49.24 ₽

at 12.31

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Fragments

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

29.55 ₽

at 29.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.39 ₽ +58.75 (+33.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

76.48 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

61.55 ₽

at 12.31

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Fragments

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

29.55 ₽

at 29.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.58 ₽ +47.02 (+28.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

57.36 ₽

at 19.12

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

73.86 ₽

at 12.31

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Fragments

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

29.55 ₽

at 29.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 160.77 ₽ +35.29 (+21.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 8%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

427.83 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

359.18 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

555.36 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

342.67 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188.53 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

173.57 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

203.39 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Sakkaku

Field-Tested

float up to 0.250599

72.99 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Neoqueen

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

139.19 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

218.41 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +41.63 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +65.62 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3018783 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 68.33₽ · invest 190.72₽
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.074463

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build