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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1.31$

Invest 59.44$

Average return 60.75$

ROI +2.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 148.91 $, profit at most −88.16 $

float premium: at least 89 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

16% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5138

54.86 $

at 6.10

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Battle-Scarred

any lot

4.58 $

at 4.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.44 $ +1.31 (+2.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

74.74 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

73.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

31.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

36.23 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3019376 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 66.99$
rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3019929 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 1.23$ · invest 58.01$
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.513888
Craft 3019290 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.22$ · invest 58.70$
XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.513888
Craft 3019727 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1.20$ · invest 64.02$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.553364 instead of 0.513888

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build