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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit · by float −1 139.92₸ by average prices it would be +893.12

Invest 30 890.70₸

Average return 29 750.78₸

ROI −3.7% market check 20.10 15:50 MSK

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest 31 729.14 ₸, profit −1 978.36 ₸

float premium: 0 ₸ (0.0%)

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

90% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3597

24 695.92 ₸

at 2 743.99

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Well-Worn

any lot

4 161.74 ₸

at 4 161.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 857.66 ₸ +893.12 (+3.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 95%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

33 150.33 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

33 927.43 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

46 705.81 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

33 861.77 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 286.50 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +78.17 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3020090 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 886.38₸ · invest 26 494.24₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.359722
Craft 3019620 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 856.31₸ · invest 27 251.78₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.359722

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build