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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +2 211.60₽

Invest 7 997.11₽

Average return 10 208.71₽

ROI +27.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 19 434.59 ₽, profit at most −9 225.89 ₽

float premium: at least 11 242 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 398.70 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5 025.20 ₽

at 628.15

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 264.36 ₽

at 1 264.36

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 707.55 ₽

at 1 707.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 997.11 ₽ +2 211.60 (+27.6%)

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

2 528.72 ₽

at 1 264.36

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

11 952.85 ₽

at 1 707.55

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

3 694.10 ₽

at 3 694.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 175.67 ₽ +4 791.61 (+26.4%)

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

1 264.36 ₽

at 1 264.36

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

11 952.85 ₽

at 1 707.55

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

7 388.20 ₽

at 3 694.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 605.41 ₽ +4 184.53 (+20.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

2 512.60 ₽

at 628.15

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 528.72 ₽

at 1 264.36

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

6 830.20 ₽

at 1 707.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 871.52 ₽ +3 805.15 (+32.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 404.62 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

8 883.30 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

30 604.48 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +820.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 824.79 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build