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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +799.93₴

Invest 2 170.53₴

Average return 2 970.46₴

ROI +36.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 5 329.06 ₴, profit at most −2 358.60 ₴

float premium: at least 3 053 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +802.53 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

353.52 ₴

at 353.52

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 490.04 ₴

at 186.26

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

326.96 ₴

at 326.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 170.53 ₴ +799.93 (+36.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

821.22 ₴

at 273.74

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

707.05 ₴

at 353.52

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

931.28 ₴

at 186.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 459.54 ₴ +627.56 (+25.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 094.96 ₴

at 273.74

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

707.05 ₴

at 353.52

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

745.02 ₴

at 186.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 547.03 ₴ +569.24 (+22.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 368.70 ₴

at 273.74

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

707.05 ₴

at 353.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

558.77 ₴

at 186.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 634.51 ₴ +510.92 (+19.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 494.16 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

4 270.82 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 824.73 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

3 610.99 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +266.63 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +704.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3029468 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 798.08₴ · invest 2 242.75₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164156 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074923 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3011475 · The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 776.74₴ · invest 2 326.98₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161965 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3016385 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 765.07₴ · invest 2 106.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163358 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074646 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3024660 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 742.40₴ · invest 2 399.42₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166225 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075643 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build