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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +245.60₸

Invest 861.17₸

Average return 1 106.76₸

ROI +28.5%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 2 040.58 ₸, profit at most −933.82 ₸

float premium: at least 1 102 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +473.27 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

213.26 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

194.25 ₸

at 48.56

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

453.66 ₸

at 90.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 861.17 ₸ +245.60 (+28.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

1 066.29 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

756.78 ₸

at 378.39

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

272.20 ₸

at 90.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 095.26 ₸ +341.24 (+16.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

426.51 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

145.69 ₸

at 48.56

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

453.66 ₸

at 90.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 025.86 ₸ +302.51 (+29.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −297 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

1 066.29 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1 513.56 ₸

at 378.39

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

90.73 ₸

at 90.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 670.57 ₸ +209.16 (+7.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 861.79 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098122

805.01 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

874.82 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116733

692.16 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085964

855.65 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073684

1 524.48 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

1 889.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.063859

10 151.12 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.061403

3 232.83 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.202631

1 035.26 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +103.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +223.58 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3021892 · The Fever Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 269.85₸ · invest 1 002.92₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162958 instead of 0.169003; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074507 instead of 0.076610
Craft 3021741 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 261.11₸ · invest 852.21₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)
Craft 3022154 · The Fever Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 254.51₸ · invest 845.54₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162958 instead of 0.169003; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074507 instead of 0.076610
Craft 3022210 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 245.52₸ · invest 820.09₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162958 instead of 0.169003; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074507 instead of 0.076610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build