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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −34 809.90₸

Invest at least 64 154.65₸

Average return 29 344.75₸

ROI −54.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 64 154.65 ₸, profit at most −34 809.90 ₸

float premium: at least 37 050 ₸

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

2 340.09 ₸

at 2 340.09

Steam

×6

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

13 806.86 ₸

at 2 301.14

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

10 816.30 ₸

at 3 605.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 963.25 ₸ +2 381.50 (+8.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 400 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

4 680.18 ₸

at 2 340.09

Steam

×3

USP-S | Jawbreaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1723

5 175.03 ₸

at 1 725.01

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0026

18 027.16 ₸

at 3 605.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 882.38 ₸ +905.96 (+3.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Inheritance

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 021.78 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087791

16 750.89 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087791

29 461.16 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087791

26 513.80 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −942.94 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +980.58 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3029677 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2 644.06₸ · invest 30 836.62₸
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074587 instead of 0.076416; Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): float at most 0.004014 instead of 0.005614
Craft 3011232 · The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2 380.30₸ · invest 27 108.61₸
rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074946 instead of 0.076416; Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): float at most 0.004328 instead of 0.005614

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build